Will you write a hit song? Well, you might write a song that COULD become a hit. A song that connects to the listener, and makes them really invested. You can write many songs that do this.
Statistically, your songs will not become hits. It is just a fact. There are thousands upon thousands of songs that could be hits, but never become hits. That’s ok. DO NOT let that fact stop you from busting your ass and trying to make your songs hits. But as you try to make your songs hits, make sure you are doing music YOU love. Don’t chase what you think the “industry” wants….or what you think people want. Do what you love. If you love it, others will too. And since the odds are already stacked against you, you may as well make something you adore, since it may not ever see the light of day. You have nothing to lose and you can find great joy in the process. And isn’t it funny that the biggest hits are songs that somehow break the mold and just drip with originality. They go against the grain. These hits are made by people who made music that was 100 percent them. They make it because they have to to keep themselves sane.
I have had my moments where I chase what I think people want to hear. I can fake my way through writing songs that fit the current trends, but maybe I don’t like them as much. And as I am chasing an imaginary audience, my inner critic goes into overdrive and I don’t write songs. The older I get, the more I am realizing that I need to make music for fun, and not what I think will be cool. I need to make music that makes me feel good. Will I write a hit? Maybe…..probably not….but can I write songs that I like and connect with people? You’re damn right, I can.